Current implied probability
30°C 40.2%Leader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$696.6
Liquidity
$45.2K
High liquiditySpread
0.2 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Sep 8, 26, 4:57 AM UTCSep 10, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
PolymarketLowest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
PolymarketBeijing Guoan vs Pohang Steelers
KalshiHow many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
PolymarketEV powered by CATL's Naxtra sodium-ion battery to ship commercially by EOY 2026?
Manifold Markets8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job oss [See full title!]
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Beijing on September 10??
- Polymarket prices 30°C at 40% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Highest temperature in Beijing on September 10? resolve?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 10? is scheduled to resolve on September 10, 2026.
- How is Highest temperature in Beijing on September 10? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.