PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 98%-0.1pt
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$9.7K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
1.3% / 2.0%
Spread
0.7 pt
Tight spreadComments
14
7d Change
-0.6 pts
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Feb 21, 26, 12:40 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if freestyle skier Eileen Gu's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Open markets
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase-6.0pt49.5%
- No change+5.0pt48.5%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $8.7M
- 24h Vol
- $865.3K
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+3.0pt100%
- September 25+10.5pt95%
- September 30+6.5pt85%
+3 more outcomes
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.1pt92%
- Republican Party-1.5pt8%
- Total Vol
- $34M
- 24h Vol
- $499K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-1.4pt8.1%
+1 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- September 30+4.5pt100%
- October 31+2.8pt100%
- September 24+5.1pt100%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.7pt3%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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- Trump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
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- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ??
- Polymarket prices No at 98% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ? resolve?
- Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if freestyle skier Eileen Gu's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.