Current implied probability
China 81%
Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$715.1
Liquidity
$5.7K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
18.0% / 20.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 8, 26, 7:30 AM UTCSep 16, 26, 3:45 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
In the upcoming FIBA Women's World Cup game, scheduled for September 9 at 11:45AM ET: If the the named outcome win, the market will resolve to "the named outcome".
- If the China win, the market will resolve to "China".
- If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
- If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
- The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for China is 81%. Quotes span about 2 percentage points between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference China 81% · 2 venues · 2 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — China vs Puerto Rico · China 77%
Open markets
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Total Vol
- $41.1M
- 24h Vol
- $110.7K
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- October 31+0.6pt97%
- December 31-0.3pt97%
- September 3094%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No+0.5pt73%
- Yes-0.5pt27%
- Total Vol
- $414K
- 24h Vol
- $15.6K
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Total Vol
- $3.1M
- 24h Vol
- $12.8K
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.1pt96%
- Yes-0.1pt4%
- Total Vol
- $13.1M
- 24h Vol
- $12.3K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+8.0pt48.6%
- 27°C-0.5pt22.4%
- 25°C-3.5pt14.9%
+8 more outcomes
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
- Miaoli County Magistrate Election Winner
- Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Puerto Rico vs. China?
- Polymarket prices China at 81% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Puerto Rico vs. China resolve?
- Puerto Rico vs. China is scheduled to resolve on September 16, 2026.
- How is Puerto Rico vs. China settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: In the upcoming FIBA Women's World Cup game, scheduled for September 9 at 11:45AM ET: If the the named outcome win, the market will resolve to "the named outcome".
- Where else is Puerto Rico vs. China listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.