PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 16, 2026, 2:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Harris 100%Leader of 17 outcomes
Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$420.6K
Liquidity
$985.7K
High liquiditySpread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 54 minutes ago
LaggingSep 15, 26, 5:05 PM UTCSep 23, 26, 10:30 AM UTC
Probability Timeline
Harris100%
Completed Match100%
Harris Set 2 Winner50%
Harris Total Sets: O/U 2.538%
Harris Set 1 O/U 8.551%
Harris Set 1 O/U 9.551%
Harris Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Harris Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Harris Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Harris Match O/U 21.537%
Harris Match O/U 22.555%
Harris Match O/U 23.547%
Harris Game Spread +/-2.51%
Harris Set 1 Winner37%
Harris Set 1 O/U 10.567%
Harris Set Handicap +/-1.518%
Harris Set Handicap +/-1.545%
1%
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Marat Sharipov and Lloyd Harris in the Guangzhou, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.
- This market will resolve to 'Marat Sharipov' if Marat Sharipov advances against Lloyd Harris.
- This market will resolve to 'Lloyd Harris' if Lloyd Harris advances against Marat Sharipov.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
