MyriadClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCLimited verified dataThis market resolved: > 2 and ≤ 4 Rounds
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Data quality warningNot meaningfully pricedStale data
Data as of Oct 21, 2026, 2:33 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
≤ 2 Rounds68.7%
> 2 and ≤ 4 Rounds31.3%
Won
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
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Following the passing of Pope Francis, the College of Cardinals will soon gather in the Sistine Chapel for the traditional conclave to elect his successor.
- How many rounds of voting will it take to reach the required two-thirds majority?
- **Market Closing:** May 19, 2025 at 11:59pm CEST
- **Resolution Time**:The market may be resolved during the market period or after it has closed, whenever the outcome is conclusively determined.
- R**esolution Criteria**
- - The market resolves to the interval that includes the successful round (the round in which a Pope is elected), based on the predefined voting ranges listed as possible outcomes. - Each voting session counts as one round, regardless of the day it occurs.