Will Ye / Kanye West perform in St. Petersburg on both 10 and 11 October 2026, as planned?
Russia / UkraineOne-OffMusicEntertainmentManifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (99%)
Resolved: Oct 10, 2026, 10:05 PM
Provider-verified resolution
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 11, 2026, 11:31 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes1%
No99%
Won
Lost
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market resolves to YES if Ye (Kanye West) performs live concerts in St. Petersburg, Russia, on both October 10, 2026, and October 11, 2026, as scheduled.
- It resolves NO otherwise.
- Clarifications:
- A qualifying "live concert" requires Ye to be physically present on stage and performing his music.
- If either of the scheduled shows is canceled, postponed to a date outside of the October 10–11, 2026 window, or if Ye fails to perform on both of these consecutive nights for any reason, this market will resolve to NO.
- If one concert occurs but the other is canceled, cut short before starting, or postponed, this market resolves to NO.