What are the current odds for Will XTC/MDMA be legalized anywhere in the world before 2035?

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 82% as of November 3, 2026.

Will XTC/MDMA be legalized anywhere in the world before 2035

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 82%

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Play-money forecasting platform

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Forecast

Market data

Updated 31 minutes ago

Jun 16, 23, 10:01 PM UTCDec 31, 34, 11:01 PM UTC

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Outcome24hChance

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Seeing all the recent decriminalization efforts by countries around (medicinal) cannabis/marijuana.

I'm wondering whether the same movement will have any success on the party drug.
Both XTC and Psychedelics have suffered a lot of repression in the war on drugs, in which the dangers have been extremely exaggerated to sway public opinion for decades without proper study.
In contrast to the very accepted (luckily now less so) practices of smoking and heavy drinking, responsible use of party drugs is a big taboo in most places.
However as the war on drugs is clearly not working, do any of you notice a shift in public opinion towards regulation and decriminalizing in your part of the world?
Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): Market will only resolve YES if XTC/MDMA is fully legalized through removal from controlled substances lists.