What are the current odds for Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2031??

Manifold Markets prices No at 85% as of September 11, 2026.

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2031?

Health & MedicineDailyScience Weather4y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 85.3%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 14 minutes ago

Jan 4, 24, 9:35 PM UTCMar 1, 31, 10:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Rules

Resolves as YES if a superconductor at Room Temperature (RT) and Ambient Pressure (AP) has been discovered, synthesized and measured to be a superconductor before January 1st 2031.

Questions with the same criteria:
@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-e940f30870be
@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-ebfceb8eefc5
@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-f41118c07313
@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-3ccf49dbe194

Report a data issue with this market

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2031?

Health & MedicineDailyScience Weather4y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 85.3%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 14 minutes ago

Jan 4, 24, 9:35 PM UTCMar 1, 31, 10:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Related Markets

Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2033?

Manifold Markets

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2032?

Manifold Markets

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2028?

Manifold Markets

Near room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026?

Kalshi

Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?

Kalshi

When will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?

Kalshi

Rules

Resolves as YES if a superconductor at Room Temperature (RT) and Ambient Pressure (AP) has been discovered, synthesized and measured to be a superconductor before January 1st 2031.

Questions with the same criteria:
@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-e940f30870be
@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-ebfceb8eefc5
@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-f41118c07313
@/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-3ccf49dbe194

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2031??: Manifold Markets prices No at 85% as of September 11, 2026.
When does Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2031? resolve?: Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2031? is scheduled to resolve on March 1, 2031.
How is Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2031? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves as YES if a superconductor at Room Temperature (RT) and Ambient Pressure (AP) has been discovered, synthesized and measured to be a superconductor before January 1st 2031.

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2031?

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2031?

Frequently asked questions

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