Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 81.9%
Forecasters
31
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Jan 4, 24, 9:47 PM UTCMar 1, 32, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2033?
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KalshiRules
Resolves as YES if a superconductor at room temperature and ambient pressure has been discovered, synthesized and demonstrated to be a superconductor before January 1st 2032.
- Questions with the same criteria:
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Open markets
Health & Medicine
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No97%
- Yes3%
- Total Vol
- $18.1M
- 24h Vol
- $20.3K
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $4.7K
KALSHIMedtronic cardiovascular growth in Q2
- Above 8%92%
- Above 9%81%
- Above 11.5%53%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3K
- 24h Vol
- $3K
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000+1.0pt98%
- Above 6000+2.0pt61%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1M
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- ↑3.5k100%
- ↑500+0.1pt100%
- ↑1k+0.1pt100%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIPandemic in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes5%
- Total Vol
- $712.2K
- 24h Vol
- $1.4K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2032??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 82% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2032? resolve?
- Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2032? is scheduled to resolve on March 1, 2032.
- How is Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2032? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves as YES if a superconductor at room temperature and ambient pressure has been discovered, synthesized and demonstrated to be a superconductor before January 1st 2032.