PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 1, 2026, 8:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
2900+ 100%+0.1ptLeader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.3K
Liquidity
$2.7K
Medium liquiditySpread
0.9 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingAug 24, 26, 3:00 PMOct 1, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
100%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time.
- If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
- Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Open markets
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.1pt96%
- Yes-0.1pt4%
- Total Vol
- $18M
- 24h Vol
- $9.3K
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 3000+1.0pt99%
- Above 4000+3.0pt95%
- Above 6000+4.0pt41%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $982.2K
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- ↑500+0.1pt100%
- ↑1k+0.1pt100%
- ↑2k+0.2pt100%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETEbola pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.1pt96%
- Yes-0.1pt4%
- Total Vol
- $717.2K
- 24h Vol
- $3.8K
POLYMARKETSkin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by which date?
- June 30,88%
- March 31,+7.5pt47%
- Total Vol
- $44.2K
- 24h Vol
- $3.7K
KALSHIWill 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- On Nov 16, 2026+3.0pt91%
- On Nov 22, 202775%
- On Dec 14, 202669%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $40.9K
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages qualify as hemp under federal law?
- Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
- Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by which date?
- New pandemic in 2026?
- Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by which date?
- Pandemic in 2026?
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Measles cases in U.S. by September 30??
- Polymarket prices 2900+ at 100% as of September 1, 2026.
- When does Measles cases in U.S. by September 30? resolve?
- Measles cases in U.S. by September 30? is scheduled to resolve on October 1, 2026.
- How is Measles cases in U.S. by September 30? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.