Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 94.9%
Forecasters
24
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleJan 8, 24, 10:29 PM UTCMar 1, 28, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will we get AGI before we get room temperature superconductors?
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KalshiNew pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
PolymarketRules
Resolves as YES if a superconductor at Room Temperature (RT) and Ambient Pressure (AP) has been discovered, synthesized and measured to be a superconductor before January 1st 2028.
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-e940f30870be
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-ebfceb8eefc5
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- @/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-3ccf49dbe194 (this question)
Open markets
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Total Vol
- $18.1M
- 24h Vol
- $22.1K
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Total Vol
- $1.9M
- 24h Vol
- $6K
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 more outcomes
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- December 31,+6.0pt65%
- September+2.0pt41%
- June28%
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.8K
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000-1.0pt96%
- Above 6000+1.0pt60%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1M
- 24h Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2028??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 95% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2028? resolve?
- Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2028? is scheduled to resolve on March 1, 2028.
- How is Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2028? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves as YES if a superconductor at Room Temperature (RT) and Ambient Pressure (AP) has been discovered, synthesized and measured to be a superconductor before January 1st 2028.