Will we get room temperature superconductors before a human walks on Mars?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will we get room temperature superconductors before a human walks on Mars??

Manifold Markets prices No at 64.1% as of October 31, 2026.

When does Will we get room temperature superconductors before a human walks on Mars? resolve?

Will we get room temperature superconductors before a human walks on Mars? is scheduled to resolve on March 1, 2100.

How is Will we get room temperature superconductors before a human walks on Mars? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves as YES if a superconductor at Room Temperature (RT) and Ambient Pressure (AP) has been discovered, synthesized and measured to be a superconductor before a human ventures out onto the Martian surface.

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KALSHI

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• Austin+57.0pt99.5%
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+32 more outcomes

Total Vol

$377.4K

24h Vol

$358.5K

KALSHI

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• College Station+43.0pt99.5%
• Austin+45.0pt99.5%
• Tampa+1.0pt

POLYMARKET

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KALSHI

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• 58° or below-16.0pt57%
• 59° to 60°+17.0pt39.5%
• 61° to 62°+3.0pt

POLYMARKET

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• 17°C75.9%
• 18°C23.1%
• 19°C-5.2pt0.9%

+8 more outcomes

Total Vol

POLYMARKET

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• 23°C+82.5pt95.9%
• 24°C-2.5pt3.1%
• 25°C+0.8pt1%

+8 more outcomes

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