Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 56.6%
Forecasters
37
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJan 28, 24, 8:24 PM UTCJan 7, 00, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will we get room temperature superconductors before a human walks on Mars?
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PolymarketMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
PolymarketRules
Resolves as YES if we have built a fusion reactor that has run continuously for at least 24 hours at engineering breakeven (Q_E >= 1) before a human ventures out onto the Martian surface.
- Numeric markets:
- @/RemNi/what-year-do-we-get-fusion-reactors
- Fusion reactor questions:
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d18e9fd38cd1
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-a380452919f1
