Current community forecast
SpaceX 78.6%Leader of 4 outcomes
SpaceX 78.6%Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleMay 11, 24, 5:01 PM UTCJan 1, 00, 12:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
If there is a joint effort between two organisations (eg spaceX and NASA) I'll resolve to the one that paid for the trip.
- For example a spaceX rocket landing on the moon, paid for by the Artemis program, would resolve to NASA (if this market were about the moon.
- If an organisation sells tickets, it's the organisation paying for the trip and not the people/organisation buying the tickets.
- If they share the cost I'll resolve to the share of the cost the organisations pay.
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Daniel_MC/will-an-optimus-robot-walk-on-mars)
