Will US unemployment rate rise more than North Carolina unemployment rate in September?

POLYMARKET

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

• Yes-3.0pt76.2%
• No+3.0pt23.8%

Total Vol

$1.2M

24h Vol

$128.8K

KALSHI

PPI MoM in October

• Above 0.4%+56.0pt48%
• Above 0.3%50%
• Above 0.2%-9.0pt51%

POLYMARKET

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

• 2 (50 bps)-5.5pt75.3%
• 1 (25 bps)+5.0pt23.8%
• 3 (75 bps)-0.1pt1%

+3 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

• Hike–Pause–Hike+1.5pt77.8%
• Hike–Pause–Pause+0.5pt21.2%
• Other-1.1pt1%

+6 more outcomes

KALSHI

October 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core

• Headline: Exactly 0.2%, Core: Exactly 0.2%11%
• Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: Exactly 0.3%13%
• Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: Exactly 0.2%11%

KALSHI

Core CPI in October

• Above 0.0%+1.0pt93.5%
• Above 0.1%75.5%
• Above 0.2%+1.0pt46%