Current community forecast
Yes 50%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleSep 8, 26, 3:21 PM UTCOct 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Germany unemployment rate in September
KalshiCanada unemployment rate in September
KalshiWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.6% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.4% in September 2026?
ForecastExWill the US unemployment rate hit more than 6% in any month of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+13.0pt65.7%
- No change-13.0pt33.3%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $113.7M
- 24h Vol
- $5.3M
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $817.3K
- 24h Vol
- $96.1K
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+7.0pt73%
- September Meeting+11.0pt65%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.5pt76%
- No-1.5pt24%
- Total Vol
- $8.8M
- 24h Vol
- $60.9K
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.2%+3.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $465.7K
- 24h Vol
- $40.4K
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 1 (25 bps)-5.0pt44.8%
- 2 (50 bps)+3.5pt25.7%
- 0 (0 bps)22.9%
+3 more outcomes
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- August Inflation US - Annual
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- CPI core in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
- CPI core month-over-month in Aug 2026?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- How high will inflation get this year?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
- CPI-U index in August
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will US unemployment rate rise more than North Carolina unemployment rate in September??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 50% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Will US unemployment rate rise more than North Carolina unemployment rate in September? resolve?
- Will US unemployment rate rise more than North Carolina unemployment rate in September? is scheduled to resolve on October 31, 2026.