What are the current odds for Will the US unemployment rate hit more than 6% in any month of 2026??

Manifold Markets prices No at 89.9% as of October 29, 2026.

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Will the US unemployment rate hit more than 6% in any month of 2026?

Macro & Economy2mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 89.9%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 11 hours ago

Stale

Feb 12, 26, 4:07 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

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Will the US unemployment rate hit more than 6% in any month of 2026?

Will the US unemployment rate hit more than 6% in any month of 2026?

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Frequently asked questions

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Open markets

PPI MoM in October

S&P price on Oct 29, 2026 at 10am EDT?

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president by which date?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Bank of Canada decision in Dec 2026?

Will the 30 year mortgage interest rate exceed 6.5 for the week ending in October 29, 2026? (home loans) (borrowing costs) (housing market)?