Current community forecast
Yes 53.5%
Forecasters
44
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleFeb 2, 24, 12:59 AM UTCJan 1, 50, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRules
In a historic referendum on June 23, 2016, the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union, with 52% of the public supporting the departure in a move known as Brexit.
- Following the referendum, the UK formally triggered Article 50 in March 2017, beginning a complex and lengthy negotiation process to determine the terms of its exit.
- The UK officially left the EU on January 31, 2020, marking the end of a 47-year membership and entering a transition period that concluded on December 31, 2020, to establish new post-Brexit relations.
- Will UK rejoin the European Union before 2050?
- Resolves Yes if UK completed joining the European Union before 2050
- Update 2025-02-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Clarification:
Open markets
Politics
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+45 more outcomes
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- J.D. Vance50%
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+39 more outcomes
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- $701.2M
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will UK rejoin the European Union before 2050??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 54% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will UK rejoin the European Union before 2050? resolve?
- Will UK rejoin the European Union before 2050? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2050.
- How is Will UK rejoin the European Union before 2050? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: In a historic referendum on June 23, 2016, the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union, with 52% of the public supporting the departure in a move known as Brexit.