Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 91.4%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleDec 16, 23, 8:13 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market aims to predict the probability of Italy leaving the EU before the start of 2030.
- Will resolve to YES if Italy is still a member state by the start of 2030.