Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 91.4%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 20 hours ago
StaleDec 16, 23, 8:13 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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This market aims to predict the probability of Italy leaving the EU before the start of 2030.
- Will resolve to YES if Italy is still a member state by the start of 2030.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Italy be a member state of the European Union by the start of 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 91% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Italy be a member state of the European Union by the start of 2030? resolve?
- Will Italy be a member state of the European Union by the start of 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.
- How is Will Italy be a member state of the European Union by the start of 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market aims to predict the probability of Italy leaving the EU before the start of 2030.