Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 95.8%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 20 hours ago
StaleOct 24, 25, 9:51 PM UTCJan 19, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiWhite House # posts October 30 - November 6, 2026?
PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if Trump tears down 90% or more of the original building as it stood at the end of Joseph Biden's term.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- If Trump rebuilds a lookalike with modern wiring and plumbing this still resolves YES.