Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 96%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJun 6, 25, 12:03 AM UTCJan 21, 29, 1:01 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolves YES if Donald Trump publicly suggests that the NASA vehicle currently known as Space Launch System / Orion be renamed to include the word "Trump".
- Either the rocket or the capsule or both must be the target of the suggestion.
- A smaller component or a mission (ex.
- Artemis 2) will not count.
- Resolves NO at noon on Jan 20th, 2029.
Open markets
US Politics
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- 24h Vol
- $808.4K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
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- $701M
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
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+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
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- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 more outcomes
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- Republican Party-1.0pt15.8%
- Total Vol
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- 24h Vol
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KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.2%
- Marco Rubio20.2%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt4.8%
+35 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- 24h Vol
- $338.6K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Trump suggest renaming SLS to Trump Launch System (or similar)??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 96% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Trump suggest renaming SLS to Trump Launch System (or similar)? resolve?
- Will Trump suggest renaming SLS to Trump Launch System (or similar)? is scheduled to resolve on January 21, 2029.
- How is Will Trump suggest renaming SLS to Trump Launch System (or similar)? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if Donald Trump publicly suggests that the NASA vehicle currently known as Space Launch System / Orion be renamed to include the word "Trump".