PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
December 16%-1.0pt
Market quality
55 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$58.1
Liquidity
$4.2K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
15.0% / 16.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
6
7d Change
+5.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Feb 2, 26, 11:52 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Hunter Biden launch a coin by which date?
PolymarketWill Trump suggest renaming SLS to Trump Launch System (or similar)?
Manifold Markets$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketWhich Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
KalshiWill Hunter Biden actually launch a meme coin on September 9, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Only tokens which are confirmed to have been launched by Donald Trump, either through posts from official social media channels, or otherwise confirmed by public statements will qualify.
- The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable.
- Announcements alone do not qualify.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Open markets
CryptoKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
- $69,500 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $845.3K
- 24h Vol
- $817.6K
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 8?
- 68,000100%
- 70,000100%
- 72,000+0.4pt100%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,500 or above97%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↑ 77,500100%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- ↓ 60,000+10.4pt100%
- ↑ 80,000+11.9pt100%
- ↑ 75,000+30.4pt100%
+43 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
- ↑ 2,500+18.4pt100%
- ↑ 2,250+42.5pt100%
- ↑ 2,000+13.4pt100%
+27 more outcomes
- $LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 8?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- What price will Ethereum hit in September?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 8?
- Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?
- Bitcoin price on September 8?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Trump launch a coin by which date??
- Polymarket prices December at 16% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Trump launch a coin by which date? resolve?
- Will Trump launch a coin by which date? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Trump launch a coin by which date? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.