Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?
1.9% (24h)BitcoinOne-OffCryptoUS PoliticsMusicEntertainmentEthereum5mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityDecember 31, 2026 4%-1.9%
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$7
Liquidity
$9.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
3.5% / 4.9%
Spread
40.0%
Wide spread7d Change
+0.8%
Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
May 29, 25, 9:52 PMJan 1, 27, 5:00 AM
Trends
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
December 31, 20264%
Volume trend
$7Jul 220d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs a bill into law or performs any executive action changing US tax law to eliminate capital gains tax on any cryptocurrency assets by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Such a bill must apply to US taxpaying persons in general; if a law applies only to specific companies or institutions, it will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market.
- If capital gains is eliminated only for specific types or classes of crypto assets (e.g., only Bitcoin or Ethereum, only American issued cryptocurrencies, or only NFTs), it will still count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market.
- If the bill is signed into law, or executive action is instituted before the resolution date, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of when it takes effect.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.