🏛💸Capital Gains Tax Increase Before 2027? (USA)
EquitiesOne-OffUS PoliticsPoliticsMacro & EconomyRegulation3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 94.1%
Forecasters
21
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleApr 19, 24, 12:49 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 1:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by which date?
PolymarketWill Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
PolymarketWill long-term capital gains tax rate (federal) be increased in the US by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill federal capital gains taxes be cut in 2026?
KalshiWill Trump eliminate capital gains taxes on crypto?
KalshiFederal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026?
PolymarketRules
🏛💸Capital Gains Tax Increase Before 2027?
- Resolution/Rules
- If a bill becomes law before 2027 that the effect of raising the top federal capital gains tax rate on net long-term capital gains to be strictly greater than 20%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from Library of Congress.
- People are placing bets on the likelihood of a tax increase, as the administration seeks to raise revenue and address income inequality.
- A capital gains tax hike could have a significant impact on investors and the stock market, making it a closely watched bet.
Open markets
EquitiesPOLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA-1.0pt79%
- Apple-0.6pt13%
- Alphabet7%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.9M
- 24h Vol
- $105.9K
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 7,800 to 7,999.9916.2%
- 8,000 to 8,199.99+1.0pt15.2%
- 7,600 to 7,799.9910.5%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.5M
- 24h Vol
KALSHINasdaq-100 price on Sep 9, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 29,070 or above90%
- 29,080 or above90%
- 29,090 or above90%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $36.4K
- 24h Vol
- $36.4K
POLYMARKETS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 9?
- Down79%
- Up21%
- Total Vol
- $32.1K
- 24h Vol
- $31.9K
KALSHINasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- 33,000.01 or above+4.0pt17.5%
- 30,500 to 30,999.99-1.0pt6.8%
- 31,000 to 31,499.99+1.0pt6.8%
+27 more outcomes
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.25–$2.5T+8.0pt26.2%
- $2.0–$2.25T-1.1pt21.4%
- $1.75–$2.0T-1.0pt18.4%
+7 more outcomes
- S&P price on Sep 9, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 9?
- STRC hits $100 by…
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- How high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
- What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- S&P 500 Daily Up/Down
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- S&P price on Sep 9, 2026 at 10am EDT?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for 🏛💸Capital Gains Tax Increase Before 2027? (USA)?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 94% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does 🏛💸Capital Gains Tax Increase Before 2027? (USA) resolve?
- 🏛💸Capital Gains Tax Increase Before 2027? (USA) is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is 🏛💸Capital Gains Tax Increase Before 2027? (USA) settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: 🏛💸Capital Gains Tax Increase Before 2027?