Will Trump raise tariffs on any G7 country to more than 50%?
Trade PolicyOne-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 74.2%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleFeb 7, 26, 4:25 AM UTCJan 20, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if any tariff rate on any G7 country (Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom) exceeds 50% at any point before the market closes (during Trump's term).
- Resolution will be verified through official announcements from the Office of the United States Trade Representative (https://ustr.gov/trade-topics/presidential-tariff-actions) or the Federal Register.
- The market resolves NO if no G7 country faces tariffs exceeding 50% by the market deadline.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Trump raise tariffs on any G7 country to more than 50%??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 74% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Trump raise tariffs on any G7 country to more than 50%? resolve?
- Will Trump raise tariffs on any G7 country to more than 50%? is scheduled to resolve on January 20, 2029.
- How is Will Trump raise tariffs on any G7 country to more than 50%? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria