Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 78.3%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleJul 21, 26, 10:03 PM UTCJan 19, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
On July 20, 2026, President Donald Trump issued three Proclamations pursuant to Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930 imposing 50% tariffs on imports of certain Canadian goods made “in response to Canada’s discriminatory treatment of American products.”:
- Imposing Additional Duties to Offset Canadian Discrimination Against the Commerce of the United States with Respect to Dairy
- Imposing Additional Duties to Offset Canadian Discrimination Against the Commerce of the United States with Respect to Alcoholic Beverages
- Imposing Additional Duties to Offset Canadian Discrimination Against the Commerce of the United States with Respect to Motor Vehicles
- Resolves no if:
- these attempts are legally challenged and found illegal,
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Trump's tariffs using Section 338 hold?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 78% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Trump's tariffs using Section 338 hold resolve?
- Will Trump's tariffs using Section 338 hold is scheduled to resolve on January 19, 2029.
- How is Will Trump's tariffs using Section 338 hold settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: On July 20, 2026, President Donald Trump issued three Proclamations pursuant to Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930 imposing 50% tariffs on imports of certain Canadian goods made “in response to Canada’s discriminatory treatment of American products.”:
