Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 99%
Forecasters
40
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleDec 22, 24, 5:56 PM UTCJan 21, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Trump balance the U.S. budget before his term ends?
Manifold MarketsSouth Africa balance of trade for September
KalshiCarried Interest Repeal by End of 2026
Manifold MarketsBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
PolymarketWill the federal gas tax be suspended?
KalshiWill the U.S. enter a recession in Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves yes if the federal government does not have a deficit in one of 2025 or 2026