Will TPS for Venezuelans be back in effect in the U.S. before January 1, 2027?
One-OffUS PoliticsLatin America1moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 66.5%
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3
Question type
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleNov 1, 26, 4:39 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolves YES if Temporary Protected Status (TPS) for Venezuela is back in effect in the United States — deportation protections and employment authorization restored through a court decision or a DHS action — at any time before January 1, 2027.
- Resolves NO if January 1, 2027 arrives without Venezuelan TPS having returned to effect.
- Context: on October 30, 2026, a Ninth Circuit panel denied the government's request to extend the stay of the ruling favorable to TPS beneficiaries; if the Supreme Court does not intervene, that ruling would take effect on November 6, 2026.
