Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 94.9%
Forecasters
25
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleMar 18, 23, 7:24 PM UTCDec 31, 36, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Same resolution criteria as:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/CodeSolder/will-there-be-largescale-rioting-in-721f0882dfd8)
Open markets
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+39 more outcomes
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- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
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- Marco Rubio20.2%
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+35 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before 2036??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 95% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before 2036? resolve?
- Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before 2036? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2036.
- How is Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before 2036? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Same resolution criteria as: