Data quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 2:47 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
No 81.3%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingMar 21, 24, 3:32 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
The AARO report, which concluded no verifiable evidence of extraterrestrial activity in UAP sightings, has been met with skepticism from some quarters, including claims of oversight and the exclusion of critical data.
- Participants should consider the possibility of emerging evidence, public pressure, and governmental or scientific scrutiny that might influence the AARO to revisit and potentially alter its conclusions.
- This market provides an avenue to predict the evolving narrative surrounding UAP investigations and the transparency of government disclosures on such phenomena.
