Will the US government functionally seize control of Anthropic by EOY2027?
Corporate ActionsAIOne-OffUS Politics1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 84.9%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleApr 8, 26, 6:53 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027, the United States government (including federal agencies) takes functional control of Anthropic PBC or its successor entities.
- Functional control is defined as the government assuming direct management, operational control, or the power to override the board of directors and executive leadership regarding core business decisions, development, or deployment of AI models.
- This includes, but is not limited to:
- An official government takeover, nationalization, or eminent domain acquisition of the company.
- A court-ordered receivership or government-mandated management replacement resulting in direct federal control.