Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 86.3%
Forecasters
23
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingFeb 21, 26, 5:47 PM UTCJan 20, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
The Corruption Perception Index (CPI) scores and ranks 182 countries on "public-sector corruption perceived by experts and businesspeople".
- Transparency International updates the CPI at the end of January each year.
- In 2025, the United States scored 64 out of 100, a worsening in corruption by 1 point compared to 2024.
- This question resolves YES if the US has a worse score on the CPI for 2026 (i.e. -1 or worse reduction in score), and resolves NO if they stay the same or improve.