Will the US and Iran reach a formal nuclear deal framework by July 1, 2026?

POLYMARKET

US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?

• December 31-1.8pt66%
• October 31-9.0pt41%
• September 30-3.0pt26%

+17 more outcomes

Total Vol

$18M

24h Vol

$401K

POLYMARKET

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?

• December 31-3.0pt8%
• November 30-2.0pt6%
• October 31-1.0pt4%

+6 more outcomes

KALSHI

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

• Before Jul 1, 2027+2.0pt47%
• Before Apr 1, 2027-2.0pt40%
• Before Jan 1, 2027-4.0pt24%

+9 more outcomes

KALSHI

US-Iran nuclear deal?

• Before Jan 20, 2029-4.0pt36.7%
• Before Jan 1, 2028-1.0pt22.4%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt11.2%

+8 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• August 22+1.1pt98%
• August 2595%
• August 31-0.5pt86%

+3 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by which date?

• August 310%
• August 150%

Total Vol

$22.7M

24h Vol

$118.3K