Will the Senate of the Philippines remove Vice President Sara Duterte from office before 2027?
PoliticsOne-Off2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 84.6%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleMay 19, 26, 2:44 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Vice President Sara Duterte in an impeachment trial, resulting in her removal from office, at any point before 11:59 PM PHT on January 1, 2027.
- The market resolves to NO if her term ends, she resigns, or she otherwise leaves office for reasons other than a Senate-led impeachment conviction, or if she remains in office past the specified date.
- Official resolution will be based on announcements from the Senate of the Philippines or reports from major news outlets (e.g., Rappler, Philippine Daily Inquirer, GMA News) confirming the outcome of impeachment proceedings
