Current community forecast
Yes 57.2%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleJul 5, 24, 10:39 AM UTCAug 12, 29, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
The next general election will be held no later than August 2029.
- Will the party endorsed by the Sun newspaper win the most seats at that election, as happened last time (2024)?
- For these purposes, win means largest party.
- As determined by Wikipedia entry (here is the 2024 equivalent: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Endorsements_in_the_2024_United_Kingdom_general_election)
- In case of no endorsement, market resolves N/A. A repeat of this market for the 2029 general election: https://manifold.markets/Nico/will-the-party-endorsed-by-the-sun#5834b77e-58bd-4e5d-a2e0-705235858385
