Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 59.4%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleAug 5, 25, 4:15 PM UTCJan 6, 29, 5:08 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will https://ocov2.jpl.nasa.gov/ (orbiting carbon observatory) data be accessible by on the NASA website by EOY2027?
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KalshiWhat will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves Yes if the Orbiting Carbon Observatory 2 is still publishing data when Donald Trump leaves office, No otherwise.
- At the time when Trump leaves office, I will check https://disc.gsfc.nasa.gov/datasets/OCO2_L2_Fwd_FP_11.2/summary?keywords=oco2%20v11.2 for recently published data, or look at another URL if that one is down and commenters suggest that the observatory is still publishing data at a different URL.
- If the OCO2 crashes into the atmosphere, becoming an incandescent trail of plasma and debris, this market may resolve early.
- https://www.npr.org/2025/08/04/nx-s1-5453731/nasa-carbon-dioxide-satellite-mission-threatened
