Will the October 2026 US jobs report show nonfarm payrolls above +50,000?
EconomyWeeklyMacro & Economy3d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 53.2%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 44 minutes ago
Oct 29, 26, 7:44 AM UTCNov 6, 26, 1:00 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolves YES if the first release of the BLS Employment Situation report for October 2026 shows a total nonfarm payroll employment change (seasonally adjusted, headline number) strictly greater than +50,000.
- Resolves NO if it is +50,000 or lower.
- Source: bls.gov Employment Situation Summary, scheduled for Friday 6 November 2026 at 8:30 am ET (13:30 UTC).
- Later revisions do not count.
- If the release is delayed, the market resolves on the first release whenever it is published.
- Trading closes at 13:00 UTC on 6 November, 30 minutes before the release.
