Will the North Atlantic Right Whale (Eubalaena glacialis) become extinct in the current century?
One-OffScienceManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 81.5%
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5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 38 minutes ago
Apr 22, 24, 8:38 AM UTCDec 31, 99, 10:59 PM UTC
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KalshiRules
The North Atlantic Right Whale is a species of balean whale native to the northern atlantic.
- With 200-250 mature individuals (IUCN estimate in 2020) it is probably the most endangered large whale species.
- This market will resolve YES if the North Atlantic Right Whale is declared extinct by the IUCN by 2100 or earlier, and NO if it is not declared extinct by the IUCN in 2100.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/North_Atlantic_right_whale
- IUCN Red List of Threatened Species Assessment: Critically Endangered
- https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/41712/178589687