Will the Blue Whale (Balaenoptera musculus) become extinct in the current century?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the Blue Whale (Balaenoptera musculus) become extinct in the current century??

Manifold Markets prices No at 76.9% as of October 26, 2026.

When does Will the Blue Whale (Balaenoptera musculus) become extinct in the current century? resolve?

Will the Blue Whale (Balaenoptera musculus) become extinct in the current century? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2099.

How is Will the Blue Whale (Balaenoptera musculus) become extinct in the current century? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market will resolve YES if the Blue Whalte is extinct in 2100.

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POLYMARKET

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?

• December 31-1.2pt4%
• October 31+0.1pt1%

+5 more outcomes

Total Vol

$75.2M

24h Vol

$398.8K

KALSHI

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

• Before Jan 20, 202922.5%
• Before Jan 1, 202813.5%
• Before Jan 1, 20274.5%

KALSHI

Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?

• No97.5%
• Yes2.5%

Total Vol

$525.6K

24h Vol

$10.1K

POLYMARKET

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

• 1+1.5pt88.8%
• 2-2.0pt11.2%
• 30%

+3 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

What will the biggest earthquake be on October 25, 2026?

• 6.1 or more+71.8pt91.5%
• 5.9 to 6.0-9.4pt2.8%
• 5.3 to 5.4-13.4pt1.9%

+3 more outcomes

KALSHI

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

• Yes+3.5pt81.3%
• No18.8%

Total Vol

$436.5K

24h Vol

$2.6K

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