Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 67.9%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleDec 29, 24, 11:45 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
The H-1B visa program in the United States has an annual cap of 85,000 visas, divided into two categories:
- Regular Cap: 65,000 visas.
- Master's Cap: 20,000 visas for individuals with a U.S. master's degree or higher.
- For Fiscal Year (FY) 2024, the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS) received a record 780,884 H-1B registrations, a significant increase from previous years. https://www.uscis.gov/newsroom/alerts/uscis-reaches-fiscal-year-2025-h-1b-cap
- The has been some recent proposal by Elon Musk to expand the H1B visa program and it sparked controversy among conservatives. https://www.reuters.com/world/us/elon-musk-vows-war-over-h-1b-visa-program-amid-rift-with-some-trump-supporters-2024-12-28/
- Resolves Yes if the H1B visa cap is higher than 85000 for the fiscal year 2028.
