Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 74.9%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 49 minutes ago
LaggingFeb 7, 26, 7:52 AM UTCDec 31, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolves yes if the first openly gay man to the senate is a democrat or caucuses with the democrats.
- Must be openly gay.
- Speculation doesn’t count.
- Bisexual doesn’t count.
- If A Democrat and a Republican/non Democrat gay man are elected at the same time, will resolve 50-50.
- Must be currently serving or about to be elected.
