Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 53.2%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleSep 28, 26, 6:38 AM UTCOct 28, 26, 5:45 PM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
Resolves YES if the Federal Open Market Committee's policy statement released on 28 October 2026 records no dissenting votes on the monetary policy action.
- Resolves NO if one or more voting members dissent.
- The official statement on federalreserve.gov (the "Voting for the monetary policy action were..." paragraph) is used.
- If the meeting is moved, the first scheduled FOMC decision after 27 October 2026 counts.
- For context: the 16 September 2026 decision (a 25 bp hike) was unanimous.
- The market closes at 17:45 UTC on 28 October, shortly before the 2:00 pm ET statement, and resolves the same day.
