Will the Fed cut interest rates at the next FOMC meeting (July/Sept 2026)?

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in September?

• No change-4.0pt68.3%
• 25 bps increase+4.0pt30.7%
• 25 bps decrease1%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$43M

24h Vol

$2.9M

KALSHI

Fed decision in Sep 2026?

• Fed maintains rate-3.0pt66%
• Hike 25bps+3.0pt31.1%
• Cut 25bps1%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$11.8M

POLYMARKET

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

• 0 (0-0.9pt85.9%
• 1 (2510.1%
• 2 (50-0.4pt3%

+10 more outcomes

Total Vol

KALSHI

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

• Exactly 0 cuts-1.3pt83.3%
• Exactly 1 cut-1.1pt9.8%
• Exactly 2 cuts-0.2pt2%

+18 more outcomes

Total Vol

POLYMARKET

Fed rate hike in 2026?

• Yes+2.0pt51.5%
• No-2.0pt48.5%

Total Vol

$7.8M

24h Vol

$75.3K

ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)

Fed rate decision in September 2026

• Fed maintains rate+1.0pt64.4%
• Hike 25bps28.8%
• Cut 25bps+1.0pt2.7%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$162K