Will the 2028 Democratic nominee be a white man?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the 2028 Democratic nominee be a white man??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 66% as of October 29, 2026.

When does Will the 2028 Democratic nominee be a white man? resolve?

Will the 2028 Democratic nominee be a white man? is scheduled to resolve on September 1, 2028.

How is Will the 2028 Democratic nominee be a white man? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves to whoever accepts the party nomination at the 2028 DNC or N/A if the Democratic party doesn't nominate a candidate for whatever reason by market close.

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KALSHI

Who will control the House?

• Democratic Party+0.3pt91%
• Republican Party-0.7pt8.9%

Total Vol

$79.4M

24h Vol

$3.8M

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico+4.0pt68.5%
• Ken Paxton-3.0pt31.5%

Total Vol

$49.4M

24h Vol

$3.7M

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep+3.0pt65.5%
• D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt27.5%
• Republicans sweep

POLYMARKET

Which party will win the House in 2026?

• Democratic Party+1.0pt92.1%
• Republican Party-1.0pt7.9%

Total Vol

$26.4M

24h Vol

$2.1M

KALSHI

Los Angeles Mayor winner?

• Karen Bass+11.0pt54.5%
• Nithya Raman-9.0pt45.5%

Total Vol

$45M

24h Vol

$1.8M

ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)

US House Control After the 2026 Midterms

• Democrat93%
• Republican-1.0pt9%

Total Vol

$1.4M

24h Vol

$1.4M

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