What are the current odds for Will the consumption of Alcohol be made illegal in the U.S. by end of 2040??

Manifold Markets prices No at 98.4% as of September 27, 2026.

Will the consumption of Alcohol be made illegal in the U.S. by end of 2040?

One-OffUS Politics Regulation Society & Culture14y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 98.4%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Stale

Jan 13, 23, 8:51 AM UTCJan 1, 41, 7:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Will marijuana be federally descheduled from a Schedule 1 illegal drug in the USA before the end of 4/20 2027?

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Rules

Must be a nationwide law for a positive resolution.

Report a data issue with this market

Will the consumption of Alcohol be made illegal in the U.S. by end of 2040?

One-OffUS Politics Regulation Society & Culture14y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 98.4%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Stale

Jan 13, 23, 8:51 AM UTCJan 1, 41, 7:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Related Markets

Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

Will same-sex marriage be made illegal in the U.S. by end of 2040?

Manifold Markets

Will U.S. meat consumption decline by 50%+ by 2040?

Manifold Markets

Will the UK lift the football alcohol ban in 2026?

Kalshi

Will Ontario lift its U.S. alcohol restrictions in 2026?

Kalshi

Will it become illegal to move >$50K/year out of the United States?

Manifold Markets

Will marijuana be federally descheduled from a Schedule 1 illegal drug in the USA before the end of 4/20 2027?

Manifold Markets

Rules

Must be a nationwide law for a positive resolution.

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the consumption of Alcohol be made illegal in the U.S. by end of 2040??: Manifold Markets prices No at 98.4% as of September 27, 2026.
When does Will the consumption of Alcohol be made illegal in the U.S. by end of 2040? resolve?: Will the consumption of Alcohol be made illegal in the U.S. by end of 2040? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2041.
How is Will the consumption of Alcohol be made illegal in the U.S. by end of 2040? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Must be a nationwide law for a positive resolution.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

https://api.coinrithm.com/api/prediction-markets/events/manifold/will-the-consumption-of-alcohol-be

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https://mcp.coinrithm.com/mcp

Data API docs Connect an agent

Will the consumption of Alcohol be made illegal in the U.S. by end of 2040?

Will the consumption of Alcohol be made illegal in the U.S. by end of 2040?

Frequently asked questions

Use this market in code or an AI agent

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