Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 97.5%
Forecasters
31
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 59 minutes ago
LaggingJan 10, 24, 8:38 AM UTCJan 1, 01, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a Human or AI model solve the Riemann hypothesis by 2028?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI discovers the first proof of the Riemann Hypothesis before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Riemann Hypothesis be resolved?
KalshiAI program resolves Riemann Hypothesis before 2035
Manifold MarketsWill we have a proof of the Riemann Hypothesis by 2060?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Riemann hypothesis win the Millennium Prize?
KalshiRules
Resolves YES if the first person to prove that the Reimann hypothesis is true, false, or independent of ZFC posts their proof in the following market to get the bounty:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/ElijahBodden3c33/250-mana-for-the-first-viable-proof?r=UGxhc21hQmFsbGlu)If multiple people are involved in the final proof (or disproof etc.) of the Riemann hypothesis, only one of them needs to claim the bounty.
- Resolves NO if the bounty is canceled, the bounty is claimed by someone else (e.g., someone who didn't write the proof posts it in the comments and gets the bounty), or the bounty is still unclaimed after the Riemann hypothesis has been solved for at least a year.
