Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 85.6%
Forecasters
32
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleDec 3, 23, 10:44 PM UTCJan 1, 54, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Szymon Hołownia ever become the President of Poland?
Manifold MarketsPoland: Will Mata (Michał Matczak) become a President of Poland?
Manifold MarketsWill Karol Nawrocki be the President of Poland at the end of November 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Sławomir Mentzen ever becomes the President of Poland
Manifold MarketsWill Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before Jan 22, 2045?
KalshiWill Nick Fuentes become President of the United States before 2045?
KalshiRules
This will resolve to YES if in his lifetime Rafał Trzaskowski becomes elected the President of Poland
