What are the current odds for Will Oliver Larkin win the Florida 23rd Democratic Primary??

Manifold Markets prices No at 99% as of August 17, 2026.

Will Oliver Larkin win the Florida 23rd Democratic Primary?

PoliticsOne-OffElection

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: No (99%)

Resolved: Aug 16, 2026, 8:09 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

No 99%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Stale

Mar 18, 26, 3:03 AMAug 16, 26, 8:09 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes1%

No99%

99%

Yes

Rules

Resolves YES if Oliver Larkin wins the Floridas 23rd district Democratic primary.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Florida#District_23

Will Oliver Larkin win the Florida 23rd Democratic Primary?

PoliticsOne-OffElection

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: No (99%)

Resolved: Aug 16, 2026, 8:09 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

No 99%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Stale

Mar 18, 26, 3:03 AMAug 16, 26, 8:09 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes1%

No99%

99%

Yes

Rules

Resolves YES if Oliver Larkin wins the Floridas 23rd district Democratic primary.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Florida#District_23

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Oliver Larkin win the Florida 23rd Democratic Primary??: Manifold Markets prices No at 99% as of August 17, 2026.
When does Will Oliver Larkin win the Florida 23rd Democratic Primary? resolve?: Will Oliver Larkin win the Florida 23rd Democratic Primary? is scheduled to resolve on August 16, 2026.
How is Will Oliver Larkin win the Florida 23rd Democratic Primary? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if Oliver Larkin wins the Floridas 23rd district Democratic primary.

Will Oliver Larkin win the Florida 23rd Democratic Primary?

Will Oliver Larkin win the Florida 23rd Democratic Primary?

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