What are the current odds for Will Northern Ireland leave the UK by 2100??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 75.3% as of October 29, 2026.

When does Will Northern Ireland leave the UK by 2100? resolve?

Will Northern Ireland leave the UK by 2100? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2099.

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 75.3%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Lagging

Oct 21, 22, 11:09 PM UTCDec 31, 99, 11:00 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.