Current community forecast
Yes 98.7%
Forecasters
14
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Aug 17, 26, 12:34 PM UTCDec 31, 98, 4:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Navier-Stokes be solved with the help of Google or Alphabet scientists by the end of 2027?
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PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if Navier-Stokes is solved by AI and NO if it is solved by a human.
- For a YES resolution, the AI is required to do most or all of the mathematical work.
- For a NO resolution, the human is allowed to use AI for purposes of literature search or proving minor lemmas but the bulk of the proof must come from the human mind.
- If, when the problem is solved, it becomes unclear whether AI or humans should get more credit, the issue shall be disputed in the comments.
Open markets
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $157.2K
- 24h Vol
- $119.4K
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+10.0pt60%
- 2027+2.0pt31.4%
- 2026+2.0pt8.6%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.7pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $10.6M
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-4.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $377.7K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.5pt23%
+2 more outcomes
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Navier-Stokes be solved by AI??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 99% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Navier-Stokes be solved by AI? resolve?
- Will Navier-Stokes be solved by AI? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 9998.
- How is Will Navier-Stokes be solved by AI? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if Navier-Stokes is solved by AI and NO if it is solved by a human.