Will MSFT acquire/merge with OpenAI by the end of 2027?
Corporate ActionsAIOne-OffBusiness & CorporateTech1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 80%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 22 hours ago
StaleApr 1, 26, 4:49 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Microsoft acquires or merges with OpenAI by December 31, 2027.
- Resolution requires a binding agreement where Microsoft obtains control of OpenAI as a subsidiary or through a full merger, as confirmed by official announcements from both companies or regulatory filings.
- Partial ownership stakes, minority investments, or partnership agreements do not qualify.
- The market resolves NO if no such acquisition or merger occurs by the deadline.
- Microsoft has invested in OpenAI since 2019, with a $10 billion investment in January 2023.